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Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Bezos' Amazon plans to donate $1 million to Trump's inauguration ceremony.Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.

Turkish President meets US Secretary of State, focusing on the situation between Syria and Palestine and Israel. Turkish President Erdogan meets visiting US Secretary of State Blinken at Essenboa International Airport in Ankara, the capital, and the two sides hold closed-door talks. It is reported that the talks focused on bilateral relations, regional and international hot issues, especially the latest development of the situation in Syria. The two sides discussed how to strengthen regional cooperation, jointly support the political transition led by Syria and promote the establishment of a "responsible" and "inclusive" government. Erdogan emphasized that Turkey has always insisted on safeguarding Syria's territorial integrity and sovereign unity. Erdogan pointed out that Turkey will never compromise in the struggle against the extremist organization "Islamic State". As the only NATO country directly at war with the Islamic State, Turkey will continue to take measures to combat threats, including the PKK and its affiliated organizations, ensure national security and prevent any forces from taking advantage of the current situation in Syria. In addition, the two sides also exchanged views on the current Palestinian-Israeli situation. Erdoğ an and Blinken agreed that it is urgent to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza as soon as possible and reach an agreement on the exchange of detainees, and stressed that humanitarian assistance to Palestinians should be strengthened.China calls for supporting Afghanistan to rebuild its financial system and eradicate the breeding ground for terrorism. On December 12, local time, the UN Security Council reviewed the situation in Afghanistan, paying attention to the serious restrictions on women's rights and interests in the country and the still insufficient humanitarian funds. The Chinese representative pointed out that Afghanistan is currently at a critical stage of peaceful reconstruction, and the international community should play a better role in solving the outstanding problems facing Afghanistan. Fu Cong, Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, pointed out that humanitarian relief concerns the vital interests of all Afghan people and must not be used as a bargaining chip for political pressure. China calls on traditional donors to increase capital investment, especially on the United States to unconditionally unfreeze and fully return overseas assets belonging to the Afghan people. Affected by unilateral sanctions, Afghanistan's banking system has been isolated from the international financial system for a long time. Relevant countries should immediately and unconditionally lift illegal unilateral sanctions and support Afghanistan in rebuilding its financial system.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.

Ukrainian President Zelensky: Russia launched 93 missiles and 200 drones into Ukraine's energy system, which is one of the biggest attacks on Ukraine's energy system. Ukraine shot down 81 missiles, 11 of which were shot down by F-16 fighters.A number of projects have accelerated the implementation of the national water network construction, and the South-to-North Water Transfer Project is a major strategic infrastructure to alleviate the serious shortage of water resources in northern China, and it is the main skeleton and artery of the national water network. On December 12th, the first phase of the East Middle Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project ushered in the 10th anniversary of full water supply. The project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water, providing stable and high-quality water sources for 45 large and medium-sized cities and 185 million people in 7 provinces and cities along the route, and supporting the GDP growth of more than 16 trillion yuan in the northern region. The reporter was informed that in the next step, China will continue to promote the construction of major national water network projects, and a number of large reservoirs, large irrigation areas and other projects are being accelerated. (Economic Information Daily)Hong Kong Monetary Authority: In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. On December 13, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced the main analytical accounts of the Exchange Fund at the end of November 2024. In November, the foreign assets of the Exchange Fund increased by HK$ 30.8 billion to HK$ 3,506.4 billion. The monetary base is HK$ 1,950.1 billion, including certificates of indebtedness, notes and coins in circulation issued by the government, balances in the banking system and issued Exchange Fund bills and bonds. Claims on the private sector in Hong Kong amounted to HK$ 287.8 billion. Total external liabilities amounted to HK$ 28 billion.